The calls being made right now.

By December 31, 2032, check whether Social Security requires a legislated solvency rescue and whether at least one US state receives an extraordinary federal bailout or formally restructures obligations.

Still open. The stated window begins in 2030.

Confirm that US astronauts land on the lunar surface by December 31, 2028.

Still open. This was presented as an administration target.

Confirm that a US-led nuclear fission reactor reaches space and begins its intended demonstration or operating mission by December 31, 2028.

Still open. This was presented as an administration target.

Confirm that hardware explicitly intended as part of a sustained US lunar base is delivered to and operating on the Moon by December 31, 2030.

Still open. This was presented as an administration target.

Confirm that the program publicly demonstrates a quantum computer that performs a scientifically useful calculation beyond a classical baseline by December 31, 2028.

Still open. This was presented as a federal program goal.

Use Anthropic's reported or credibly documented annualized revenue run rate for December 2027.

Still open. The forecast concerns Anthropic's exit run rate for 2027.

Use Anthropic's reported or credibly documented full-year revenue and December 2027 annualized run rate; both must remain below $1 trillion.

Still open. Calacanis expected growth to slow sharply in 2027.

Compare year-end monthly consumer reach across public AI products and AI-enabled consumer services, using a consistent third-party audience measurement source.

Still open. The comparison will use the same audience measurement method across companies at year end.

Use company and government employment reporting to determine whether the project supports at least 10,000 direct jobs by August 5, 2036.

Still open. This was presented as a company commitment tied to the shipyard project.

Confirm that OpenAI lists shares through a conventional initial public offering by December 31, 2027.

Still open. The call was made while discussing prediction-market odds for a 2026 listing.

Use certified 2026 Senate election results to determine which party controls a majority of seats.

Still open. Silver put Democratic control near 40% to 45% and gave the GOP a slight edge.

Use certified 2026 House election results to determine which party controls a majority of seats.

Still open. Silver described the House forecast as the clearer of the two congressional calls.

Use the certified winner of the 2028 presidential election.

Still open. This was a directional forecast, not a named-candidate prediction.

Estimate 2027 DRAM purchases by major hyperscalers from supplier reporting and divide by their combined reported capital expenditure.

Still open. Full-year company filings and memory-supplier reporting will be needed.

Compare the stated $11 million run rate with Geodnet's verifiable annualized network revenue on June 12, 2027; success requires more than $33 million.

Still open. The source turn states both the starting run rate and the growth threshold.

Compare new orbital and terrestrial compute capacity deployed during the year ending June 6, 2036; orbital capacity must exceed 50% of the total.

Still open. Marshall tied the forecast to falling launch costs and continuous solar power.

Use SpaceX's reported full-year 2027 revenue, allowing the stated $40 billion to $45 billion range.

Still open. The forecast followed an estimate of $25 billion to $30 billion for 2026.

Sum year-end annualized revenue for OpenAI, Anthropic, Gemini, Cursor, xAI, and the commercial open-model businesses named in the source discussion.

Still open. The range was stated for the named AI providers as a group.

Confirm that a binding transaction combining Tesla and SpaceX closes by June 30, 2027.

Still open. Palihapitiya gave the end of 2026 as the primary timing and mid-2027 as the outer bound.

Use Anthropic's reported or credibly documented annualized revenue run rate for December 2026.

Still open. Sacks described the target as a continuation of Anthropic's 10x annual growth.

Sum reported capital expenditure from Amazon, Microsoft, Alphabet, Meta, OpenAI, xAI, and the other large AI infrastructure builders for the 12 months ending May 1, 2027.

Still open. The episode cited $725 billion of 2026 guidance from four hyperscalers before adding other builders.

By November 1, 2026, check whether the leading frontier-model providers have each publicly demonstrated an end-to-end multi-step cyber-attack simulation at or above the Mythos capability discussed in the episode.

Still open. The source tied the comparison to AI Security Institute cyber simulations.

By April 24, 2027, check whether a jointly developed xAI or Cursor model reaches the top three on the public coding leaderboard referenced in the episode or its direct successor.

Still open. The top-three rule makes the phrase front of the leaderboard testable.

Use Anthropic's reported or credibly documented annualized revenue run rate for December 2026.

Still open. This independent April call preceded Sacks's approximately $100 billion forecast in May.

Use Nvidia's fiscal-year reporting that covers most of calendar 2027; both thresholds must be met.

Still open. Both the revenue and free-cash-flow conditions must hold.

Use certified 2026 congressional election results; Democrats must control both chambers.

Still open. The call was made in the context of the Iran war and Trump's approval rating.

Use the certified winner of the 2028 presidential election.

Still open. This was paired with the prediction of a Democratic midterm sweep.

Use the Bureau of Economic Analysis estimate for real GDP growth in the fourth quarter of 2026 or full-year 2026, matching the speaker's end-of-year framing.

Still open. Final fourth-quarter and annual GDP estimates arrive after year end.