The question
How should access to dual-use AI be controlled?
Coordinate release tests with China
Baker is reluctant to impose US-only pre-release testing but says a jointly verified framework with China would be more acceptable. The aim is to test severe risks without putting only American labs behind a delay.
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Baker describes the bilateral option as more palatable rather than endorsing a specific test or regulator.
Geez, like I just think it's such a complicated topic. It feels we're a little early for that. I don't love the idea of the United States doing it and no one else doing it. I, like I think in a world where we hold hands with China, like I think that's that's much more palatable and we're aligned and we trust each other and have kind of verification capabilities. I do think. Great.SpaceX's $2T Case, Nvidia's Shock Selloff, America Turns on AI, Trump Pulls AI Order, Bond Crisis? ↗
Seek to 29:55
Verify users instead of weakening the model
Palihapitiya proposes know-your-customer checks for access to powerful models. A verified organization could identify its staff and post a security bond, preserving full capability for accountable users while making anonymous misuse harder.
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The proposal does not explain who verifies users across jurisdictions or how open-weight releases would fit the scheme.
So we should probably do some sort of KYC so some crazy person doesn't create some biological weapon. I think that those are some reasonable ground rules. But otherwise, Friedberg is right. You have to take a little bit of a deterministic view here, which is that we are in this existential race and we need to get to the place where each of us, meaning us in China, can look at each other in the eye and say, all right, weapons down, so to speak.SpaceX's $2T Case, Nvidia's Shock Selloff, America Turns on AI, Trump Pulls AI Order, Bond Crisis? ↗
Seek to 29:08
You're bringing up an excellent example, okay? The fertilizer is a perfect example. You know what happens when you try to buy fertilizer? You have to show your ID. There is a form of KYC that happens. So the real thing is, I think that when you don't implement KYC on your own, and yet belly ache about having somebody impose guardrails that then you can shape, I think you're being very sneaky. It's tricky. You shouldn't be saying that kind of stuff. Anthropic could implement KYC tomorrow, but it does not. It could leave all of these models open. Friedberg should be able to go to Anthropic and say, I'm David Friedberg. Here's what I do. Here's a security bond I'm willing to post. Here's the names and addresses of all my employees. Give me Fable 5 and don't nerf me. He can't do that. Is that a technical decision or a legal decision? It's a technical decision by Anthropic.Anthropic's Fable Backlash, Nationalizing AI, Inflation Heats Up & California's Broken Elections ↗
Seek to 28:17
Regulate weapons and attacks, not general capability
Friedberg argues that the same capabilities can enable weapons, medicines and productive tools. He would focus law and enforcement on biological weapons, cyberattacks and other harmful outputs instead of restricting access to the underlying model.
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Friedberg still allows guardrails and stage gates; his objection is to gating the technology itself.
Can I just respond to your comment about Dario? I think because I've heard this from a number of people that I really do respect on their concerns about what models enable. You know, when we discovered how the atom could be split, you could make nuclear energy and have effectively unlimited cheap energy for the world. You could also make an atomic bomb. If you think about what the models are- We did both. We did both. That's right. There was a lot of scientists, altruists who were very concerned about the progress on the atomic bomb and fought back against it, who were actually active in the Manhattan Project and post the Manhattan Project, expressed their opinions very soundly, very loudly. I think that's the moment we're in right now, that there is a weaponization potential of these tools. I would argue that there's three kinds of weapons. There's cyber weapons, there's physical weapons and there's bioweapons. We can sit here and diagnose how these tools can be used to manifest advantages for creating better physical weapons, for creating novel cyber weapons and creating novel bioweapons, but the truth is that the capabilities that allow that weaponization are the same capabilities that I'm describing that can be used to cure cancer, to make more food, that can be used to make software tools that create extraordinary leverage for people, that increase their income, that give everyone the ability to be an entrepreneur and make millions of dollars and live a good life. The same tools are hand in hand. And fundamentally, I don't think it's about restricting access to the tools, which is unfortunately how it is being manifest. But the restrictions in any regulation, any observation should be organized around the manifestation of the tools in creating weapons and weaponization of the tools.Anthropic's Fable Backlash, Nationalizing AI, Inflation Heats Up & California's Broken Elections ↗
Seek to 23:43
I think it's the output that needs to be adjudicated in some manner. We already have product liability laws. We already have laws that make it illegal to design weapons. We already have laws against cyber espionage and cyber attacks and hacking. We have laws against creating bioweapons. I think the enforcement of those laws, the mechanism by which there can be tracking an early estimation of those uses of the technology. I'm not trying to be naïve here. I recognize there have to be guardrails and there have to be stage gates put into these systems. But limiting the systems themselves is denying us both the economic opportunity, the job creation opportunity, and also the world-changing opportunity that these tools can enable. So I think that we're going about it the wrong way by trying to create these gates all the way up front on the technology being available. Imagine if we did this with computers. By the way, they tried to do this with the Internet, remember?Anthropic's Fable Backlash, Nationalizing AI, Inflation Heats Up & California's Broken Elections ↗
Seek to 25:53
Let providers restrict use and customers leave
Friedberg accepts that a private model provider may choose stricter controls. His market answer is exit: customers who reject those terms should use another provider rather than compel the lab to serve them.
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This answer depends on meaningful alternatives remaining available to customers.
But I'm fine with them making that decision because I'm a free market guy. So I'm fine with them doing it. But you know what it means? I'm not going to be a customer.Anthropic's Fable Backlash, Nationalizing AI, Inflation Heats Up & California's Broken Elections ↗
Seek to 29:05
Use courts and civil liability after harm
Baker argues that self-regulation and the courts already give model makers a reason to act responsibly because injured people can seek recourse. He worries that a new government approval power would expand and prove difficult to withdraw.
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Calacanis responds that this protection arrives after harm has occurred.
We have one, we have self-regulation. Also, we have the courts. And if an AI model company behaves irresponsibly, they know that there are ways that people who have been harmed can seek recourse. And so we already have a system that encourages responsible behavior on the part of the model makers.SpaceX's $2T Case, Nvidia's Shock Selloff, America Turns on AI, Trump Pulls AI Order, Bond Crisis? ↗
Seek to 31:04
That's a great point because OpenAI is being sued right now by a kid who killed themselves after talking to OpenAI's model. So you're correct in that. Yes. After the fact.SpaceX's $2T Case, Nvidia's Shock Selloff, America Turns on AI, Trump Pulls AI Order, Bond Crisis? ↗
Seek to 31:27
And we will see, we'll see, we'll see more of that. I just, you know, to me, once you give something, give a power to the government, it's almost never taken back. It needs to grow. And it's kind of a one-way, a one-way path.SpaceX's $2T Case, Nvidia's Shock Selloff, America Turns on AI, Trump Pulls AI Order, Bond Crisis? ↗
Seek to 31:36
Distinguish model-release tests, user identity checks, provider terms and punishment of harmful conduct. Compare their effect on anonymous access, open models, defensive users, cross-border enforcement and remedies available before versus after harm.